Applications

The Moral Narrative of the European Sovereign Bond Crisis

Nicola Nones (University of Virginia)

Abstract: In this paper, I take a first step towards assessing if and to what extent the debt crisis has given rise to a moral narrative that starkly divides virtuous Northern European countries on the one side, and spendthrift, lazy Southern European ones on the other side. Such moral...

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Urban-Rural Divide in State Political Parties

Zoe Nemerever (University of California, San Diego)

Abstract: The urban-rural divide in American politics typically is presented as a comprehensive explanation for electoral outcomes. Yet, no research directly examines variations in the urban-rural divide across the states. This project is the first to quantitatively...

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Measuring Political Polarization in Mass Publics: The Cluster-Polarization Coefficient

Isaac Mehlhaff (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract: Political polarization has become a key concern in many important topics within comparative politics, yet past research has reached little consensus as to its substantive causes and effects. Much of this disagreement, I argue, stems from the use...

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Contrastive Multiple Component Analysis (cMCA): Applying the Contrastive Learning Method to Identify Political Subgroups

Tzu-Ping Liu and Takanori Fujiwara (University of California, Davis)

Abstract: Ideal point estimation and dimensionality reduction have long been utilized to simplify and cluster complex, high-dimensional political data (e.g., roll-call votes, surveys, and texts) for use in (preliminary) analysis and...

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Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide

Caroline Lancaster (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract: Socially-liberal attitudes towards cultural issues, such as women's rights, enjoy broad acceptance in Western Europe, particularly among younger generations. Yet, despite theoretical claims that immigration and multiculturalism would likewise become broadly...

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The Puzzling Politics of R&d: Signaling Competence Through Risky Projects

Natalia Lamberova (University of California, Los Angeles)

Abstract: Why do some leaders devote significant funds to research and development (R&D) even though such investments are risky, less visible to the public...

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Diffusion of Cybersecurity Policies

Nadiya Kostyuk (University of Michigan, Ann Arbor)

Abstract: One of the most important developments of the last two decades has been the spread of national cybersecurity policies that affect millions of people globally. Yet, researchers know relatively little about this phenomenon. I study cybersecurity policy diffusion...

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The Spread of Promotion of Political Violence on Twitter

Taegyoon Kim (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract: Although social media contribute to political participation by enabling citizens to freely express and exchange political opinions, increasing concerns are raised about the...

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Donation Dynamics: Do Critical Campaign Events Influence Contributions?

Seo-young Silvia Kim (California Institute of Technology)

Abstract: What events motivate individual campaign contributions? Using the 2016 campaign finance data from the Federal Election Commission as a daily time-series, I test the hypothesis that if presidential donors are either instrumental or momentum-driven, they...

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Non-Parametric Bridging of Non-Parametric Ideological Scales: Application to Mapping Voters on Politicians’ Ideological Space

Tzu-Ping Liu, Gento Kato and Samuel Fuller (University of California, Davis)

Abstract: Bridging ideological estimates of various groups and polities is an important, but relatively troubled branch of...

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LAPD Community Safety Partnership: Impact Evaluation on Violent Crime Using Augmented Synthetic Control Models

Sydney Kahmann, Erin Hartman, P. Jeffrey Brantingham and Jorja Leap (University of California, Los Angeles)

Abstract: In 2011, the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD), in conjunction with other governmental and nonprofit groups, launched the Community Safety Partnership (CSP)....

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Violation of Bright Lines, Term Limit Evasion and Information Control

JunHyeok Jang (University of California, Merced)

Abstract: Constitutional “bright lines” are generally thought to serve as an important guard against democratic breakdown, because violations of these “bright line” institutions provide a focal point that facilitates mass coordination against a leader. In countries with term...

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Distances in Latent Space: A Novel Approach to Analyzing Conjoints

Simon Hoellerbauer (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract:  Recent work (Abramson, Kocak, and Magazinnik, n.d.) has shown the potential pitfalls of using conjoint analysis to understand aggregate preferences over alternative profiles. Adapting recent work that frames conjoint analysis in an IRT...

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Certain. Wrong. Misinformed? Evaluating Survey-Based Measures of Political Misperceptions

Matthew Graham (Yale University)

Abstract: Survey measures of the public's factual beliefs suggest widespread misinformation on politically relevant matters of fact: not only do many Americans not only choose incorrect responses, but...

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Targeting and the Timing of Online Censorship: The Case of Venezuela

Ishita Gopal (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract: In this paper I advance a theory to explain the timing of internet censorship in authoritarian regimes. Censorship as a means of digital repression has been on a rise across...

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