Emerging Cohort

The Spread of Promotion of Political Violence on Twitter

Taegyoon Kim (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract: Although social media contribute to political participation by enabling citizens to freely express and exchange political opinions, increasing concerns are raised about the...

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Paragraph-Citation Topic Models for Corpora With Citation Networks

ByungKoo Kim, Yuki Shiraito and Saki Kuzushima (University of Michigan)

Abstract: Social scientists often analyze a corpus with a citation network among its documents, such as the corpus of the U.S. Supreme Court decisions. Existing topic models for document networks assume that the topic of a citation is...

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LAPD Community Safety Partnership: Impact Evaluation on Violent Crime Using Augmented Synthetic Control Models

Sydney Kahmann, Erin Hartman, P. Jeffrey Brantingham and Jorja Leap (University of California, Los Angeles)

Abstract: In 2011, the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD), in conjunction with other governmental and nonprofit groups, launched the Community Safety Partnership (CSP)....

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Modeling Time and Space Together

Ali Kagalwala (Texas A&M University), Andrea Junqueira (Texas A&M University), Guy D. Whitten (Texas A&M University), Laron K. Williams (University of Missouri) and Cameron Wimpy (Arkansas State University)

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New Frontiers in Dynamic Pie Modeling

Andrea Junqueira (Texas A&M University), Ali Kagalwala (Texas A&M University), Andrew Philips (University of Colorado Boulder) and Guy Whitten (Texas A&M University)

Abstract: In this paper, we...

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Leveraging Observational Outcomes to Improve the Generalization of Experimental Results

Melody Huang (University of California, Los Angeles), Erin Hartman (University of California, Los Angeles), Naoki Egami (Columbia University) and Luke Miratrix (Harvard University)

*Award for Best Graduate Student Poster - Methods*

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Distances in Latent Space: A Novel Approach to Analyzing Conjoints

Simon Hoellerbauer (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract:  Recent work (Abramson, Kocak, and Magazinnik, n.d.) has shown the potential pitfalls of using conjoint analysis to understand aggregate preferences over alternative profiles. Adapting recent work that frames conjoint analysis in an IRT...

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Targeting and the Timing of Online Censorship: The Case of Venezuela

Ishita Gopal (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract: In this paper I advance a theory to explain the timing of internet censorship in authoritarian regimes. Censorship as a means of digital repression has been on a rise across...

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Conjoint Analysis in Studying Descriptive Representation

Laura Felone, Khasan Redjabov and Eli August (University of Wisconsin)

Abstract: We replicate Teele et al.’s (2018) substantively important question about political representation with a recent...

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Keyword Assisted Topic Models

Shusei Eshima (Harvard University), Tomoya Sasaki (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) and Kosuke Imai (Harvard University)

Abstract: For a long time, many social scientists have conducted content analysis by using their substantive knowledge and manually coding documents. In recent years, however, fully automated...

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Sensitivity Analysis for Outcome Tests

Elisha Cohen (Emory University)

Abstract: Outcome tests, a method that can be used for evaluating bias in selection making processes, are especially useful when using administrative datasets that contain only observations after the selection process has occurred. I show the outcome test lower bound derived by Knox, Lowe, and Mummolo (...

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Cheap Talk or Circuit to the Legislature: Why Do Corporations Express Public Support for and Opposition Against Free Trade?

Dahyun Choi (Princeton University)

Abstract: Studies of lobbying demonstrate that sending costly signals can further enhance the credibility of the information conveyed by firms, and this characteristic of lobbying has made scholars assume that entering into the lobbying market is the most effective channel for firms to influence...

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Quantifying Triggers With Event Coincidence Analysis: An Application to Mass Civilian Killings in Civil War, 1989-2017

Angela Chesler (University of Notre Dame)

Abstract: Scholars of international relations, comparative politics, and peace and conflict studies are often interested in questions concerning the triggers of extreme political outcomes such as war, coups, and genocide. In a causal chain, a trigger is an immediate cause that can be...

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The Persuasion Effect and Contrast Effect of Radical Right Voters – the case of Germany

Ka-Ming Chan (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)

Abstract: During the 2013-2017 electoral cycle, Alternative for Germany (AfD) emerged as a radical right party in the electoral market and it broke into thirteen subnational parliaments. This research investigates whether its voters shifted their ideological self-position in the rightward direction throughout these concatenated elections. This rationalization process, in which...

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Priming Bias Versus Post-Treatment Bias in Experimental Designs

Jacob Brown (Harvard University), Matthew Blackwell (Harvard University), Sophie Hill (Harvard University), Kosuke Imai (Harvard University) and Teppei Yamamoto (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Abstract:  It is now widely recognized that conditioning on variables affected by a treatment can induce post-treatment bias when estimating causal...

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