PolMeth XXXVII Live Program


Panel I

Poster Session I

2020 Jul 14

Virtual Poster Session I


Tuesday, July 14, 2020, 2:30pm to 4:30pm

Due to the size of this conference, we are only able to feature a subset of poster presenters in synchronous poster sessions: PhD students close to graduation or recently graduated. Make sure to check out the full list of conference posters.


Meeting Room 1: Causal Inference and Endogeneity

Ye Wang; Causal Inference under Temporal and Spatial Interference
Gemma DipoppaHow Criminal Organizations Expand to Strong States: Migrants’ Exploitation and Vote Buying in Northern Italy
Christopher SchwarzAgnostic Sensitivity Analysis

Meeting Room 2: Comparative Politics and Regression Discontinuity

Ali AhmedWhen Inequality Matters: The Role of Wealth during England’s Democratic Transition
Kathryn Baragwanath and Ella Bayi; Collective Property Rights Reduce Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon

Meeting Room 3: Difference-in-Differences Models

Thomas LeavittCausal Inference in Difference-in-Differences Designs under Uncertainty in Counterfactual Trends
Kimberly TurnerA Win or A Flop? Identifying and Estimating Unintended Protest Costs in Measuring Success Outcomes
Jeremy Bowles(How) Do Elections Build States? Evidence from Liberian Electoral Administration
Rachel Porter, Sarah Treul and Maura McDonald; Changing the Dialogue: Candidate Position-Taking in Primary Elections

Meeting Room 4: Experimental Designs

Connor Jerzak; A General Method for Detecting & Characterizing Interference in Field Experiments
Alessio AlbarelloWho Gets Their Way in Coalition Policy?
Gustavo DiazA Variable Selection Approach to Spillovers

Meeting Room 5: Ideal Point Estimation

Tzu-Ping Liu and Takanori Fujiwara; Contrastive Multiple Component Analysis (cMCA): Applying the Contrastive Learning Method to Identify Political Subgroups
Evan Rosenman and Nitin Viswanathan; Using Poisson Binomial Models to Reveal Voter Preferences
Naijia LiuLatent Factor Approach to Missing Not at Random
Gento Kato, Tzu-Ping Liu and Samuel Fuller; Non-Parametric Bridging of Non-Parametric Ideological Scales: Application to Mapping Voters on Politicians’ Ideological Space

Meeting Room 6: Item Response/Crosswise Models

Yuki Atsusaka, Randy Stevenson and Ahra Wu; Bias-Corrected Crosswise Estimators for Sensitive Inquiries
Caroline LancasterValue Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide
Zoe NemereverUrban-Rural Divide in State Political Parties
Haosen GeMeasuring Regulatory Barriers Using Annual Reports of Firms

Plenary Session: Methods for the Study of Race and Ethnicity


Panel II

Poster Session II

2020 Jul 15

Virtual Poster Session II


Wednesday, July 15, 2020, 2:30pm to 4:30pm

Due to the size of this conference, we are only able to feature a subset of poster presenters in synchronous poster sessions: PhD students close to graduation or recently graduated. Make sure to check out the full list of conference posters.


Meeting Room 7: Machine Learning

Matthew Tyler; Rigorous Subjectivity: Demystifying and Improving Human Coding with Statistical Models
Andrew Halterman; Extracting Political Events from Text Using Grammatical Dependency Parsing and Machine Learning
Shiyao LiuBeyond Topics: Semi-Supervised Learning for Texts from a Measurement Perspective

Meeting Room 8: Political Behavior and Measurement

Shiro Kuriwaki; Clustering large-scale ballot data with varying choice sets
Kazuma Mizukoshi; A new multilevel-based indicator for party system nationalization
Sidak Yntiso and Sanford Gordon; Attributable Risk of Race: Detecting Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering
Gabriel Madson; The Heuristic Issue Voter: Issue Preferences and Candidate Choice

Meeting Room 9: Social Media, Social Networks and Democracy

Omer Faruk Yalcin; Measuring Political Elite Networks with WikiData
Adam Breuer, R. Eilat and U. Weinsberg; Friend or Faux: Social Network-Based Early Detection of Fake User Accounts on Facebook
Patrick ChesterFraming Democracy: Identifying Autocratic Anti-Democratic Propaganda Using Word Embeddings
Sean NortonWho Do You Think You’re Fooling? Examining the Internal Russian Disinformation Campaign

Meeting Room 10: Surveys and Survey Experiments

Natalia Lamberova; The Puzzling Politics of R&D: Signaling Competence through Risky Projects
Matthew GrahamCertain. Wrong. Misinformed? Evaluating Survey-Based Measures of Political Misperceptions
Erin RossiterThe Consequences of Social Interaction on Outparty Affect and Stereotypes

Meeting Room 11: Text and Image Data

Benjamin Guinaudeau and Simon Roth; Floor Speeches and Ideological Position: Estimating Ideology of Representatives
Patrick Wu and Walter R. Mebane, Jr.; Joint Image-Text Classification Using A Transformer-Based Architecture
Yin Yuan; Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings

Meeting Room 12: Time Series and Survival Analysis

Nadiya KostyukDiffusion of Cybersecurity Policies
Seo-young Silvia KimDonation Dynamics: Do Critical Campaign Events Influence Contributions?
Flávio Souza; Multiplicative Interactions in Error Correction Models
Ryden ButlerLearning from Likes: The Effect of Social Engagement Feedback on Politicians’ Social Media Communications

Business Meeting


Panel III

Panel IV

2020 Jul 16

FRIDAY JULY 17, 2020

Panel V

2020 Jul 17

Virtual Room 2: Conjoint Designs

12:00pm to 2:15pm

Avoiding Measurement Error Bias in Conjoint Analysis

Katherine Clayton, Yusaku Horiuchi, Aaron Kaufman, Gary King and Mayya Komisarchik

Double Feature
Improving Preference Elicitation in Conjoint Designs using Machine Learning for Heterogeneous Effects

Scott F. Abramson, Korhan Kocak, Asya Magazinnik and Anton Strezhnev

Using Conjoint Experiments to Analyze Elections: The Essential Role of the Average Marginal Component Effect (AMCE)

Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller, Daniel Hopkins and Teppei Yamamoto

... Read more about Virtual Room 2: Conjoint Designs

Corporate Panel: Non-Academic Careers