Formalization of Political Analysis: Matrix of Possibles States and Strategies

Fernando Rocha Rosario (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

Abstract: In this paper I expose a technique which formalizes the political analysis using modal logic and theory of rational choice. For represent the interaction between actors in dynamics contexts where they revise their beliefs, change their preferences and adapt their strategies according to information update, I develop a matrix of possibles states and I show how works by mean axioms about necessary/sufficient conditions and theorems about counterfinality and equifinality. I use tables truth, counterfactuals and games theory with epistemic, dynamic and deontic logic. Therefore this research is an effort for apply the modal logic in social inquiry as an tool for make formal models and I show it though any empirical examples.

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