Synchronous Poster Sessions
The list of posters from graduate students approaching the job market, presented during synchronous sessions.
Tuesday, July 14
2:30pm to 4:30pm Eastern time (11:30am to 1:30pm Pacific time)
Virtual Session 1: Causal Inference and Engogeneity
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Ye Wang (New York University)
Causal Inference under Temporal and Spatial Interference -
Gemma Dipoppa (University of Pennsylvania)
How Criminal Organizations Expand to Strong States: Migrants’ Exploitation and Vote Buying in Northern Italy -
Christopher Schwarz (New York University)
Agnostic Sensitivity Analysis
Virtual Session 2: Comparative Politics and Regression Discontinuity
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Ali Ahmed (New York University)
When Inequality Matters: The Role of Wealth during England’s Democratic Transition -
Kathryn Baragwanath (UCSD)
Co-authors: Ella Bayi
Collective Property Rights Reduce Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon
Virtual Session 3: Difference-in-Difference Models
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Thomas Leavitt (Columbia University)
Drawing Causal Inferences from Difference-in-Differences Designs under Uncertainty in Parallel Trends -
Kimberly Turner (Southern Illinois University Carbondale)
A Win or A Flop? Identifying and Estimating Unintended Protest Costs in Measuring Success Outcomes -
Jeremy Bowles (Harvard University)
When Electoral Access Does Not Promote Participation -
Rachel Porter (University of North Carolina)
Co-authors: Sarah Treul, Maura McDonald
Changing the Dialogue: Candidate Position-Taking in Primary Elections
Virtual Session 4: Experimental Designs
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Alessio Albarello (University of Rochester)
Who Gets Their Way in Coalition Policy? -
Gustavo Diaz (University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign)
A Variable Selection Approach to Spillovers in Observational Studies -
Connor Jerzak (Harvard University)
A General Method for Detecting & Characterizing Interference in Field Experiments
Virtual Session 5: Ideal Point Estimation
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Tzu-Ping Liu (University of California Davis)
Co-authors: Takanori Fujiwara
Contrastive Multiple Component Analysis (cMCA): Applying the Contrastive Learning Method to Identify Political Subgroups -
Evan Rosenman (Stanford University)
Co-authors: Nitin Viswanathan
Using Poisson Binomial Models to Reveal Voter Preferences -
Naijia Liu (Princeton University)
Latent factor approach to missing not at random -
Gento Kato (University of California, Davis)
Co-authors: Tzu-Ping Liu, Samuel Fuller
Non-Parametric Bridging of Non-Parametric Ideological Scales: Application to Mapping Voters on Politicians’ Ideological Space
Virtual Session 6: Item Response/Crosswise Models
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Yuki Atsusaka (Rice University)
Co-authors: Randy Stevenson, Ahra Wu
Bias-Corrected Crosswise Estimators for Sensitive Inquiries -
Caroline Lancaster (UNC Chapel Hill)
Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide -
Zoe Nemerever (University of California San Diego)
Urban-Rural Divide in State Political Parties -
Haosen Ge (Princeton University)
Measuring Regulatory Barriers Using Annual Reports of Firms
Wednesday, July 15
2:30pm to 4:30pm Eastern time (11:30am to 1:30pm Pacific time)
Virtual Session 7: Machine Learning
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Matthew Tyler (Stanford University)
Rigorous Subjectivity: Demystifying and Improving Human Coding with Statistical Models -
Andrew Halterman (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Extracting Political Events from Text Using Grammatical Dependency Parsing and Machine Learning -
Shiyao Liu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Beyond Topics: Semi-Supervised Learning for Texts from a Measurement Perspective
Virtual Session 8: Political Behavior and Measurement
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Shiro Kuriwaki (Harvard University)
Clustering large-scale ballot data with varying choice sets -
Kazuma Mizukoshi (University College London)
A new multilevel-based indicator for party system nationalization -
Sidak Yntiso (New York University)
Co-authors: Sanford Gordon
Attributable Risk of Race: Detecting Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering -
Gabriel Madson (Duke University)
The Heuristic Issue Voter: Issue Preferences and Candidate Choice
Virtual Session 9: Social Media, Social Networks and Democracy
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Omer Faruk Yalcin (Pennsylvania State University)
Measuring Political Elite Networks with WikiData -
Adam Breuer (Harvard University)
Co-authors: R. Eilat (Facebook Research), U. Weinsberg (Facebook Research)
Friend or Faux: Social Network-Based Early Detection of Fake User Accounts on Facebook -
Patrick Chester (New York University)
Framing Democracy: Identifying Autocratic Anti-Democratic Propaganda Using Word Embeddings -
Sean Norton (UNC-Chapel HIll)
Who Do You Think You’re Fooling? Examining the Internal Russian Disinformation Campaign
Virtual Session 10: Surveys and Survey Experiments
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Natalia Lamberova (University of California, Los Angeles)
The Puzzling Politics of R&D: Signaling Competence through Risky Projects -
Matthew Graham (Yale University)
Certain. Wrong. Misinformed? Evaluating Survey-Based Measures of Political Misperceptions -
Erin Rossiter (Washington University in St. Louis)
The Consequences of Social Interaction on Outparty Affect and Stereotypes
Co-recipient of the best poster award in applications
Virtual Session 11: Text and Image Data
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Benjamin Guinaudeau (University of Konstanz)
Co-authors: Simon Roth (University of Konstanz)
Floor Speeches and Ideological Position: Estimating Ideology of Representatives -
Patrick Wu (University of Michigan)
Co-authors: Walter R. Mebane, Jr.
Joint Image-Text Classification Using A Transformer-Based Architecture -
Yin Yuan (University of California, San Diego)
Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings
Virtual Session 12: Time Series and Survival Analysis
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Nadiya Kostyuk (University of Michigan, Ann Arbor)
Diffusion of Cybersecurity Policies -
Seo-young Silvia Kim (California Institute of Technology)
Donation Dynamics: Do Critical Campaign Events Influence Contributions? -
Flavio Souza (Texas A&M University)
Multiplicative Interactions in Error Correction Models -
Ryden Butler (Arts and Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis)
Learning from Likes: The Effect of Social Engagement Feedback on Politicians’ Social Media Communications